WOCN31 CWHX 310300
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 12.30 MIDNIGHT NDT TUESDAY 31 JULY 2007.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.30 AM NDT

 AT 12.30 PM NDT... TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 43.5 N AND LONGITUDE 59.0 W... ABOUT 50 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 90 KM SOUTH EAST OF SABLE ISLAND .

 CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 28 KNOTS... 52 KM/H.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H AND 
CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 998 MB.

  SABLE ISLAND HAS REPORTED 96.5 MM OF RAIN UP TO 2 ZULU.  MARIAN 
BRIDGE 12 HOUR RAINFALL ACCUMULATION DEPICTION SHOW AMOUNTS
OFFSHORE TO BE 50-75 MM. GANDER WEATHER OFFICE HAS AMENDED
THE PUBLIC TO INCLUDE LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 100 MM FOR THE BURIN
AVALON PENISULAS.

 00Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS EXPECTED CIRCULATION AROUND CHANTAL
WITH ONE FLOATING BOUY INDICATING THAT A 999 MB ANALYSED
PRESSURE IS JUSTIFIED. QUICKSCAT INDICATED ONE OR TWO BARBS
OF 50 KNOTS WITH 15 NM WEST OF CHANTALS POSITION.  SHE IS MOVING
OVER COLDER WATER NOW SO THIS STRONG WIND WILL BE VERY SHORT
LIVED.  CONVECTION IS STARTING TO DIMINISH AROUND CHANTAL AND
THIS IS GOOD EVIDENCE OF HER WEAKENING.

 QUICKSCAT PASS GAVE GOOD 22Z POSITION AND SHOWS THAT CHANTAL
IS ON THE FORECAST TRACK.  HOWEVER SHE IS MOVING ABOUT
90 MINUTES SLOWER THAN FORECAST. THIS WOULD PUT ITS 12 ZULU
WEDNESDAY POSITION AROUND 30 NM SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE.
HOWEVER.. WITH NEW NUMERICAL GUIDANCE AND NEW UPPER AIR DATA
COMING IN.. OTHER TWEAKS TO THE FORECAST TRACK MAY BE REQUIRED
AND THIS WILL BE SHOWN ON THE 6 ZULU FORECAST.

MIAMI HAS ADVISED US THAT THEIR 00Z MESSAGE WILL BE THE LAST ON 
CHANTAL.  OF COURSE THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE WILL CONTINUE
TO TRACK THE PROGRESS OF THIS STORM UNTIL SHE HAS WELL MOVED AWAY 
FROM OUR CANADIAN WATERS.

END MC