FXCN31 CWHX 281200 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8.00 AM ADT SUNDAY 28 AUGUST 2011. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 PM ADT 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 9.00 AM ADT , HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.2 N AND LONGITUDE 73.9 W, ABOUT 25 NAUTICAL MILES OR 50 KM SOUTH OF NEW YORK CITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS ( 120 KM/H ) AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 961 MB. IRENE IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS ( 30 KM/H ). 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH AUG 28 9.00 AM 40.2N 73.9W 961 65 120 AUG 28 9.00 PM 44.0N 71.8W 963 60 111 POST-TROPICAL AUG 29 9.00 AM 48.2N 67.8W 968 55 102 POST-TROPICAL AUG 29 9.00 PM 52.1N 62.5W 970 55 102 POST-TROPICAL AUG 30 9.00 AM 54.6N 55.3W 972 50 93 POST-TROPICAL AUG 30 9.00 PM 56.7N 46.9W 974 45 83 POST-TROPICAL AUG 31 9.00 AM 58.4N 37.5W 976 40 74 POST-TROPICAL 3. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS IRENE MOVED BACK INLAND OVER THE COAST OF NEW JERSEY EARLIER THIS MORNING. RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO SHOW THE DEGRADING OF IRENE'S STRUCTURE, AND A RECENT FLIGHT RECON SHOWED THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAD RISEN UP TO 961 MB. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 65 KNOTS, AND IRENE HAS STARTED TO PICK UP FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS. B. PROGNOSTIC IRENE WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH NORTHEASTWARD FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT THEN GRADUALLY TURN MORE EAST NORTHEASTWARD MONDAY AFTERNOON. NOW THAT THE STORM HAS MOVED INLAND AGAIN AND IS EXPERIENCING CONTINUED INCREASING SHEAR IRENE SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TRANSITION TO A POST-TROPICAL SYSTEM SOMETIME LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. IRENE IS FORECAST TO BE BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE ENTERING CANADIAN TERRITORY. HOWEVER, HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS OVER LAND MAY EXIST WITH THE STORM EVEN AS IT BECOMES POST-TROPICAL. THE IMPACTS OF IRENE AS IT APPROACHES CANADIAN TERRITORY WILL INCLUDE HEAVIEST RAINFALL LEFT OF TRACK AND GUSTY WINDS RIGHT OF TRACK. DUE TO SPRING TIDES, HEAVY POUNDING SURF AND STORM SURGE, THERE MAY BE SOME COASTAL IMPACTS ALONG SHORELINES RIGHT OF IRENE'S TRACK. THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT IF IRENE GETS HEAVILY SHEARED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BEING DISPLACED FROM THE DEEPER CLOUD, THE FORECAST TRACK MAY SHIFT EASTWARD. C. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 28/12Z 250 280 160 140 150 150 80 30 70 70 0 0 29/00Z 250 300 140 115 120 120 60 30 0 0 0 0 29/12Z 220 360 150 95 50 100 30 15 0 0 0 0 30/00Z 200 360 180 80 25 60 15 0 0 0 0 0 30/12Z 200 330 200 75 0 25 10 0 0 0 0 0 31/00Z 180 330 180 75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/12Z 180 320 180 75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END/MARCH