WOCN31 CWHX 281145 TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT UPDATED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8:45 AM ADT SUNDAY 28 AUGUST 2011. --------------------------------------------------------------------- TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR: ATLANTIC PROVINCES SOUTHERN QUEBEC. FOR HURRICANE IRENE. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3:00 PM ADT. THE CORE OF IRENE OVER THE COAST OF NEW JERSEY HEADING TOWARDS NEW ENGLAND. RAIN AND STRONG WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS EASTERN CANADA TODAY AND MONDAY. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== 1. SUMMARY OF BASIC INFORMATION AT 9.00 AM ADT. LOCATION: 40.2 NORTH 73.9 WEST. ABOUT 50 KILOMETRES SOUTH OF NEW YORK CITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 120 KM/H. PRESENT MOVEMENT: NORTH NORTHEAST AT 30 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 961 MB. 2. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE FUNDY COASTLINES OF NEW BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA AS WELL AS THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA SOUTHWEST OF PORTER'S LAKE. HURRICANE IRENE IS CURRENTLY OVER THE COAST OF NEW JERSEY AND WILL MOVE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AS IT RAPIDLY TRANSITIONS TO A POST-TROPICAL SYSTEM. AS IT TRANSITIONS, WIND AND RAINFALL WILL SPREAD FARTHER OUT FROM THE STORM CENTER. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR TO THE LEFT OF THE TRACK AND HIGHEST WINDS TO THE RIGHT. IT IS EMPHASIZED THAT A SHIFT IN THE EXACT TRACK OR INTENSITY OF IRENE AS IT ENTERS CANADIAN TERRITORY LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT IS NOT A CRITICAL FACTOR AS IRENE IS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WITH FAR REACHING IMPACTS. A. WIND. WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA, PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND, AND ALL BUT THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF NEW BRUNSWICK. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 90 AND 110 KM/H KM/H ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. THE QUEBEC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE HAS ISSUED WIND WARNINGS FOR PORTIONS OF ST. LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY WHERE WIND GUSTS UP TO 100 KM/H ARE EXPECTED. B. RAINFALL. RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL BUT EASTERN MOST PORTIONS OF NEW BRUNSWICK. AMOUNTS OF 50 TO 80 MILLIMETRES ARE EXPECTED WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOCAL AREAS IN NORTHWEST NEW BRUNSWICK COULD EXCEED 100 MILLIMETRES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE QUEBEC STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED RAINFALL WARNINGS FOR THE EASTERN TOWNSHIPS EAST OF MONTRÉAL AND THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY. THE RISK OF HIGHEST RAINFALL WILL BE PRIMARILY LEFT OF THE STORM TRACK. IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT MANY PARTS OF EASTERN CANADA HAVE RECEIVED ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL THIS SUMMER WHICH COULD RAISE THE RISK OF FLOODING AND STREAMS OVERFLOWING. C. SURGE/WAVES. THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WINDS PUSHING STORM SURGE AND WAVES FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE BAY OF FUNDY EXISTS WITH THIS STORM. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT SPRING TIDES AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND MIDDAY MONDAY IN THAT REGION COULD EXACERBATE SURGE/WAVE EFFECTS NOTE THAT AS OF NOW, THERE IS A TIMING UNCERTAINTY OF +/- 3 HOURS WITH THIS STORM. HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS AND HEAVY POUNDING SURF ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE MARITIME PROVINCES AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF QUEBEC AND THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER/GULF REGION AS THE STORM MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 3. MARINE IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY. GALE OR STORM FORCE WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE MARITIMES MARINE DISTRICT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOUTHEASTERNMOST WATERS. GALE AND STORM FORCE WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR AREAS OF THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY. GALE WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND MARINE WATERS AS WELL. WAVE HEIGHTS OF 6 TO 8 METRES ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN MARITIME WATERS INTO THE BAY OF FUNDY TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. LARGE WAVES UP TO 5 METRES COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE ON MONDAY. VISIT WEATHEROFFICE.GC.CA/HURRICANE (ALL IN LOWER CASE) FOR THE LATEST: - FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE TABLE. - STRENGTH AND PREDICTED WIND RADII TABLE. - HURRICANE TRACK INFORMATION MAP. - TECHNICAL DISCUSSION. PLEASE ALSO REFER TO THE PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA FOR YOUR AREA. END/MARCH/BORGEL