FXCN31 CWHX 220600
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE 
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2.55 AM ADT
FRIDAY 22 JUNE 2012.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 AM ADT

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 3.00 AM ADT, TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.1 N 
AND LONGITUDE 43.0 W, ABOUT 451 NAUTICAL MILES OR 835 KM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 
55 KNOTS (102 KM/H) AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 988 MB. CHRIS IS MOVING 
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS (28 KM/H).

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          ADT                    MB  KTS  KMH
JUN 22  3.00 AM  44.1N  43.0W   988   55  102
JUN 22  9.00 AM  44.6N  43.8W   988   50   93
JUN 22  3.00 PM  44.3N  44.9W   988   45   83 POST-TROPICAL
JUN 22  9.00 PM  43.2N  45.5W   988   40   74 POST-TROPICAL
JUN 23  3.00 AM  42.1N  45.4W   990   40   74 POST-TROPICAL
JUN 23  9.00 AM  41.1N  44.8W   991   40   74 POST-TROPICAL


3. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS CONTINUES TO SHOW A SYMMETRICAL CIRCULATION
ABOUT THE CENTRE AS SEEN ON IR SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, DEEP
CONVECTION HAS NOT REDEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTRE AS INDICATED BY CLOUD
TOP TEMPERATURES. THE MOTION IS STILL NNW AT APPROXIMATELY 15 KNOTS. 
SIGNIFICANT INTERACTION WITH THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW TO THE SW HAS NOT 
OCCURRED YET AS SEEN ON WV AND IR IMAGERY.



B. PROGNOSTIC

CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE NON-TROPICAL LOW TO THE SOUTH. 
AS THE NON-TROPICAL LOW RACES EASTWARD, CHRIS WILL BECOME 
POST-TROPICAL AND VEER TOWARD THE WEST THEN SOUTH LATER TODAY. THIS 
WILL ENHANCE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE GRAND BANKS. OVER 
EASTERNMOST AREAS OF THE GRAND BANKS GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST. 
SEAS OF 3 TO 4 METERS ARE LIKELY OVER THE EASTERN GRAND BANKS BY
LATER TODAY AS THE REMNANTS OF CHRIS PASS BY TO THE EAST.

MODEL GUIDANCE IS VERY CONSISTENT IN TRACKING CHRIS IN THIS 
COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP GIVING A WESTWARD-MOST POSITION CLOSE TO 46 
DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE THIS EVENING. AFTER THIS LOOP OCCURS ALL 
GUIDANCE SHOWS CHRIS MERGING WITH THE OTHER LOW AND PULLING OFF TO
THE NORTHEAST.

UNTIL THIS INTERACTION OCCURS THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO 
EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF CHRIS.




C. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)

TIME          GALES           STORMS            HURRICANE
         NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW
22/06Z  100 100  60  60    35  45   0   0     0   0   0   0
22/12Z  100 100  60  80    45  25   0   0     0   0   0   0
22/18Z  110  70  60 100    50  20   0   0     0   0   0   0
23/00Z  120  60  60 120    50   0   0   0     0   0   0   0
23/06Z  120  60  60 120     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0
23/12Z  120  60  60 120     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0


END/HATT